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Saturday, July 5, 2014

IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 11 (Part 6)

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades


TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%
TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%
TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%
TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%
TRADE - 7: (Long - 3/18/14 to 4/11/14) = -18.1%
TRADE - 8: (Short - 4/23/14 to 4/28/14) +11%
TRADE - 9: (Short - 4/30/14 to 5/12/14) +0.3%
TRADE - 10: (Long - 5/16/14 to 5/31/14) = +7.4%

TRADE - 11: 
Bought TNA at 79.5 on 6/19, 6/23 & 6/25 based on IPM Trade Matrix long trigger. Cost Basis = 79.55 

TRADE CONDITIONS
When: IPM Model Bottom window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers
Next IPM Turn Window: Top
Trigger: SP500 = 1947, GDOW = 2599
Supporting Indicators: Uptrend   

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 2000
Profit Target 2: 2050

RISK 
Stop: SP500 = - , DJIA = -, GDOW = -, Comp = -
Trailing Stops (GDOW + 2): SP500 = 1976, GDOW = 2630, DJIA = 16990, Comp = 4462, IWM = 119
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: -% (Entry = 1947 , Exit = 1966 , Risk = -% )
Risk Reason: Too much optimism

Applicable Rule: 
  1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down
  2. No Trade in opposite direction
  3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
  4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
  5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

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