IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7 (Part 7)

So far the IPM Trade Matrix has once again held strong. Small Caps really need to take the lead now to support the argument that we have started a substantial rally phase. We will continue to evaluate the market over here and update IPM trade matrix.

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades

TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%

TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%

TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade = -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) = +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%

TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%

TRADE - 7: Long

Long TNA at 82.45 ==> 82.1 (added longs on 3/19, 3/20, 3/25, 3/26, 3/27) 

More longs were added based on IPM Turn Window risk reduction 

Trade was initiated on 3/18/14 based on IPM Trade Matrix Trigger. 

Note: IPM Trade Matrix has been updated and future trades will include a new fail-safe to ensure trade entry near the break-out and reduce uncertainty.    

TRADE CONDITIONS

When: Bottom within IPM Turn Window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers

Next IPM Turn Window: Top / Bottom 
Trigger: SP500 = 1865, DJIA = 16409, GDOW = 2455 (will be a signal for full long)
Supporting Indicators: Up trend based on 8/4 test

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 1915-1920
Profit Target 2: 1960

TNA target is separate. It might be hit early. If profit target is hit, aggressive trailing stops will be used & we will discuss it on the blog. 

RISK
Stop: New low outside of IPM turn window based on Elliott Wave structure. Provisional Stops: SP500= 1840, GDOW = 2450, DJIA = 16125
Trailing Stops: SP500= 1852, GDOW = 2463, DJIA = 16300
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.5%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 0.7% (Entry = 1865 , Exit = 1852 , Risk = 0.7% )
Risk Reason: Geo-political uncertainty. Approaching 1st Quarter results. 

Applicable Rule: 

1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down (aggressive trailing stops at profit objective)
2. No Trade in opposite direction
3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: 

Weekly IPM Overview & Performance

Weekly & Daily Inflection Point Model updates have been e-mailed to subscribers. 

Details about IPM Model & Subscription info is located at:

Research & Timing

Over the weekend, extensive analysis was performed on the weekly IPM turn window. And the results were very astonishing. In November, the following analysis was sent to subscribers:

"According to the Weekly Model, we are approaching an IPM Model Turn Window (Shown below). This window is scheduled for November 22, 2013 (+/- 2 weeks), and should mark a market Top."

Although the market did top within weekly IPM turn window in November, it started rallying in mid-December. At that point in time, it was assumed that the rally meant that November's top was temporary. However, when the markets were analyzed over the weekend from Nov 29, 2014 top to last week's low, it was amazing to see that the market really did not do anything over the past 4 months.

Following chart shows global stock market index with red circle showing the weekly IPM top and green circle showing the recent low. It clearly shows that the market just went sideways in the last 4 months.

Following chart shows small caps index with red circle showing the weekly IPM top and green circle showing the recent low. It also shows that the market just went sideways over the last 4 months.

As part of the above mentioned charts, following table shows the performance of 4 indices over the past 4 months. Overall, there has not been any progress over the past 4 months in these indices.

Based on this analysis, there is a potential that the market might soon undergo a sharp rally over the next few weeks. Details about weekly IPM turn dates will be emailed to subscribers.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: 

IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7 (Part 6)

Market Overview

Whereas US markets continued their sideways action, Global stock market continued their rally especially the emerging markets. We now have a very good setup in terms of sentiment to start a significant rally.

However, time has ran out for the market. Therefore, break below 1839 in SP500 will trigger a sell signal. If the market resumes to rally, it is possible that the market could continue its rally into May. And the rally could be stronger than expected.

Following chart again shows the global stock market index on a longer-term time frame. It has been updated with latest data, and shows that the global index is trying to break out of the longer-term triangle.  

If the market fails to abide by the triangle scenario and makes a new low outside of the IPM Model turn window, we will exit the long trade. 

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades

TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%

TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%

TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade = -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) = +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%

TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%

TRADE - 7: Long

Long TNA at 82.45 ==> 82.7 (added longs on 3/19, 3/20, 3/25, 3/26) 

More longs were added based on IPM Turn Window risk reduction 

Trade was initiated on 3/18/14 based on IPM Trade Matrix Trigger. IPM Trade Matrix has been updated and future trades will include a new fail-safe to ensure trade entry near the break-out and reduce uncertainty.    

TRADE CONDITIONS

When: Bottom within IPM Turn Window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers

Next IPM Turn Window: Top / Bottom 
Trigger: SP500 = 1865, DJIA = 16409, GDOW = 2455 (will be a signal for full long)
Supporting Indicators: Up trend based on 8/4 test

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 1915-1920
Profit Target 2: 1960

TNA target is separate. It might be hit early. If profit target is hit, aggressive trailing stops will be used & we will discuss it on the blog. 

RISK
Stop: New low outside of IPM turn window based on Elliott Wave structure. Provisional Stops: SP500= 1840, GDOW = 2450, DJIA = 16125
Trailing Stops: Will be determined next week 
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.5%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.34% (Entry = 1865 , Exit = 1840 , Risk = 1.34% )
Risk Reason: Geo-political uncertainty. Still within IPM Bottom window => Lower levels are possible.

Applicable Rule: 

1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down (aggressive trailing stops at profit objective)
2. No Trade in opposite direction
3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: 

IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7 (Part 5)

Market Overview

Today was a painful day, especially in small caps. It was so painful that I did not even want to look at the charts. But decided to publish relevant analysis for three primary reasons:

1. Hiding from reality cannot solve anything. UST publishes what is actually happening, so that readers can learn in real-time. Anyone can post when he/she is right, but manning up when things don't go in one's favor is very important for long-term success.
2. People want to read about what is happening. UST did not want to disappoint readers because of personal disappointment.  
3. If UST has to be a long-term time-tested market analysis service, we need to be here in good times and bad times.

Although it was not a good day for equities, there are certain positives including strength in emerging markets, global stocks and pessimism coming into the US stock market (contrarion indicator) . 

Time has run-out for the market to bottom. And its now or never. Therefore, if critical levels (defined below) are broken to the downside, it would suggest that the trend has reversed from up to down. From a historical perspective, this has a low probability. In fact, if the market resumes to rally, it is possible that the market might continue its rally into May. Originally we were expecting a market top in April. This is a new development and will be shared as Elliott Wave structure develops. 

Following chart again shows the global stock market index on a longer-term time frame. It has been updated with latest data, and shows that the global index is trying to break out of the longer-term triangle since February. If this triangle is true and market holds above critical levels, market should rally. 

 

If the market fails to abide by the triangle scenario and makes a new low outside of the IPM Model turn window, we will exit the long trade. 

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades

TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%

TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%

TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade = -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) = +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%

TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%

TRADE - 7: Long

Long TNA at 82.45 ==> 82.7 (added longs on 3/19, 3/20, 3/25, 3/26) 

More longs were added based on IPM Turn Window risk reduction 

Trade was initiated on 3/18/14 based on IPM Trade Matrix Trigger. IPM Trade Matrix has been updated and future trades will include a new fail-safe to ensure trade entry near the break-out and reduce uncertainty.    

TRADE CONDITIONS

When: Bottom within IPM Turn Window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers

Next IPM Turn Window: Top / Bottom 
Trigger: SP500 = 1865, DJIA = 16409, GDOW = 2455 (will be a signal for full long)
Supporting Indicators: Up trend based on 8/4 test

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 1915-1920
Profit Target 2: 1960

TNA target is separate. It might be hit early. If profit target is hit, aggressive trailing stops will be used & we will discuss it on the blog. 

RISK
Stop: New low outside of IPM turn window based on Elliott Wave structure. Provisional Stops: SP500= 1840, GDOW = 2435, DJIA = 16125
Trailing Stops: Will be determined next week 
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.5%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.34% (Entry = 1865 , Exit = 1840 , Risk = 1.34% )
Risk Reason: Geo-political uncertainty. Still within IPM Bottom window => Lower levels are possible.

Applicable Rule: 

1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down (aggressive trailing stops at profit objective)
2. No Trade in opposite direction
3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: 

IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7 (Part 4)

Market Overview

Today's market action was very constructive, as market held its lows. Plus, full long signal was triggered. Therefore, we are fully long based on IPM Trade Matrix's trigger. Now as we approach the end of the IPM turn window, we are looking for the bottom confirmation i.e. market has already bottomed. If market can manage to muster impressive strength over the next couple of days, we will be able to confidently say that the triangle pattern has been completed and the next rally phase had begun. 

Following chart again shows the global stock market index on a longer-term time frame. This chart suggests that the global markets have been tracing out a longer-term triangle since February. Once this triangle is complete, it should result in a market rally. In fact, the rally will be more substantial then originally anticipated. Therefore, we now just have to wait and see how the market react. By the way, emerging markets have rallied impressively over the past two sessions, even in the light of Fed's tapering. This might be another sign of the bottom.

 

If the market fails to abide by the triangle scenario and makes a new low outside of the IPM Model turn window, we will exit the long trade. However, with so many people now uncertain about market's near-term future, a significant rally is very possible. Today's announcement that Facebook just acquires Oculus (3-D head-ware company), might be the catalyst that sparks a new rally.

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades

TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%

TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%

TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade = -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) = +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%

TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%

TRADE - 7: Long

Long TNA at 82.45 ==> 82.85 (added longs on 3/19, 3/20, 3/25) 

More longs will be added when GDOW breaks above critical level 

Trade was initiated on 3/18/14 based on IPM Trade Matrix Trigger. IPM Trade Matrix has been updated and future trades will include a new fail-safe to ensure trade entry near the break-out and reduce uncertainty.    

TRADE CONDITIONS
When: Bottom within IPM Turn Window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers

Next IPM Turn Window: Top / Bottom 
Trigger: SP500 = 1865, DJIA = 16409, GDOW = 2455 (will be a signal for full long)
Supporting Indicators: Up trend based on 8/4 test

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 1915-1920
Profit Target 2: 1960

TNA target is separate. It might be hit early. If profit target is hit, aggressive trailing stops will be used & we will discuss it on the blog. 

RISK
Stop: New low outside of IPM turn window based on Elliott Wave structure. Provisional Stops: SP500= 1840, GDOW = 2425, DJIA = 16125
Trailing Stops: Will be determined next week 
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.5%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.34% (Entry = 1865 , Exit = 1840 , Risk = 1.34% )
Risk Reason: Geo-political uncertainty. Still within IPM Bottom window => Lower levels are possible.

Applicable Rule: 

1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down (aggressive trailing stops at profit objective)
2. No Trade in opposite direction
3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: 

IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7 (Part 3)

Market Overview

One thing that has been bothering me since February is the unclear and overlapping wave structure. Overlapping wave structure are a hall mark of market corrections and signify indecision. As a result, we analyzed the market structure from a longer-term perspective with the objective of finding an Elliott Wave structure which can fit the upcoming IPM Model turn.

First chart shows the global stock market index on a longer-term time frame. This chart suggests that the global markets have been tracing out a longer-term triangle since February. Once this triangle is complete, it should result in a market rally. This rally could take the market to new highs.

 

Second chart highlights another triangle, but this time in SP500. Triangle is supported by the fact that the Elliott Wave structure within the triangle has been overlapping and 3-wave in nature. 

 

Triangles are corrective patterns and result in market moves in the prior direction. In our case, this direction will be up. This pattern also flows well with the IPM Model Bottom window. We will find out in the next few days (exact days e-mailed to subscribers) how the market plays out. It will be very interesting, especially with less and less people now expecting further upside.

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades

TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%

TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%

TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade = -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) = +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%

TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%

TRADE - 7: Long

Long TNA at 82.45 ==> 82.75 (added longs on 3/19, 3/20) 

More longs will be added when GDOW breaks above critical level 

Trade was initiated on 3/18/14 based on IPM Trade Matrix Trigger.  

TRADE CONDITIONS
When: Bottom within IPM Turn Window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers

Next IPM Turn Window: Top / Bottom 
Trigger: SP500 = 1865, DJIA = 16409, GDOW = 2455 (will be a signal for full long)
Supporting Indicators: Up trend based on 8/4 test

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 1915-1920
Profit Target 2: 1960

TNA target is separate. It might be hit early. If profit target is hit, aggressive trailing stops will be used & we will discuss it on the blog. 

RISK
Stop: New low outside of IPM turn window. Since we are within IPM turn window, provisional SP500 stops will be updated by 3/27/14
Trailing Stops: Will be determined next week 
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.5%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.34% (Entry = 1865 , Exit = 1840 , Risk = 1.34% )
Risk Reason: Geo-political uncertainty. Still within IPM Bottom window => Lower levels are possible.

Applicable Rule: 

1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down (aggressive trailing stops at profit objective)
2. No Trade in opposite direction
3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: 

Market Structural Analysis

Market's structural analysis is confusing at this point in time. On one hand, one can decipher it as completed sequence of 1s and 2s, which will be followed by a sharp rally starting probably Monday. In order for this structure to remain intact, market cannot decline below Thursday's lows. One of the earliest confirmations will be a break above Friday's highs.

On the other had, it is possible that the market is undergoing a sideways consolidation before a wash-out decline. If this 2nd scenario is to pan-out, market should start the decline on Monday. Although a low possibility, this decline will be completed during IPM turn window. As a result, more buying will be done on the last day of the IPM turn window. IPM date information has been e-mailed to subscribers.

Based on time ratio analysis, further decline will not be good for the market structure going forward. Therefore, if the bullish posture has to have higher potential, market needs to rally. In any case, IPM Trade Matrix will govern our trade decisions.

IPM Trade Matrix's Trade 7's critical levels will be updated once IPM turn window expires and levels are identified.

IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7 (Part 2)

Market reaction to Fed Chairwoman's statements was not totally unexpected. FOMC announcement days are always tricky. With market declining almost 200 points and recovering half of that decline in an hour, speaks volumes about the volatility. 

In any case, we are within IPM Turn Window. Therefore, either market has already put in a low or will make the low in next few days. From an Elliott Wave analysis perspective, market has put-in the low. A confirmation will be break of the critical level defined in prior updates. Still have some powder dry to add to long based on a confirmation. 

Following chart shows the Elliott Wave structure. One can see that the rally from the bottom has taken a clear 5-wave structure. And the decline so far has been a 3-wave affair. Therefore, as long as March 14 low holds, there is a very good chance that today's decline was only a wave 2 decline and we will see a sharp rally in the next few days.

Tomorrow will be an interesting day!!

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades

TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%

TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%

TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade = -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) = +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%

TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%

TRADE - 7: Long

Long TNA at 82.45 ==> 82.55 (added longs on 3/19) 

More longs will be added if GDOW breaks above critical level 

Trade was initiated on 3/18/14 based on IPM Trade Matrix Trigger.  

TRADE CONDITIONS
When: Bottom within IPM Turn Window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers

Next IPM Turn Window: Top / Bottom 
Trigger: SP500 = 1861, DJIA = 16300, GDOW = 2470
Supporting Indicators: Up trend based on 8/4 test

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 1915-1920
Profit Target 2: 1960

TNA target is separate. It might be hit early. If profit target is hit, aggressive trailing stops will be used & we will discuss it on the blog. 

RISK
Stop: New low outside of IPM turn window. Since we are within IPM turn window, provisional Stops are at: SP500 = 1838 but will change over time
Trailing Stops: Will be determined next week 
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.5%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.34% (Entry = 1865 , Exit = 1840 , Risk = 1.34% )
Risk Reason: Geo-political uncertainty. Fed's FOMC meeting on March 19. Still within IPM Bottom window => Lower levels are possible.

Applicable Rule: 

1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down (aggressive trailing stops at profit objective)
2. No Trade in opposite direction
3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: 

IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7 (Part 1)

Market & Matrix Overview

As we start IPM Trade Matrix - Trade 7, Trade Matrix has been up 6-0 over the last 2.5 months by the grace of almighty God. As most of you statistical wizards know, probability will catch up to the model at some point in time i.e. model will have a losing trade. And as we have more positive trades in a row, probability of a losing trade increases.

IPM Trade Matrix is a combination of multiple market analysis techniques and is developed based on 6 years of exhaustive market research. As mentioned in the Research section, Inflection Point Model is 95% accurate. Therefore, 1 out of 10 trades should be a loser. 

However, there is a possibility that IPM Trade Matrix might have amplified the accuracy of the Inflection Point Model with various risk-mitigation measures that have gone into the development of trade entry/exit criteria. If this is true, that would mean that we will have multiple positive trades in the upcoming months.

In any case, with IPM Trade Matrix our target is to manage risk and undertake high-probability trades for the long-term success. We will continue to evaluate the IPM Trade Matrix and will see if a fund can be launched based on this model. Please feel free to add comments about the model.

Weekly IPM Update: Weekly Inflection Point Model update will be emailed to subscribers on March 23, 2014. This report will be available for non-subscribers at a nominal cost. If interested in this report, email to: subscription.ust@gmail.com  

IPM Trade Matrix 2014 Trades

TRADE - 1: (Long) = +2.6%

TRADE - 2: (Short) = +9.3%

TRADE - 3: (Long) - Non IPM Trade Matrix trade = -0.2%
TRADE - 4: (Short - 1/31/14 to 2/5/14) = +7.25% 
TRADE - 5: (Long - 2/11/14 to 2/22/14) = +9.8%

TRADE - 6: (Long - 2/22/14 to 3/07/14) = +11.7%

TRADE - 7: Long

Long TNA at 82.45 (added positions multiple times today as SP500 & DJIA broke above critical levels. More longs will be added if GDOW breaks above critical level) 

Trade was initiated on 3/18/14 based on IPM Trade Matrix Trigger.  

TRADE CONDITIONS
When: Bottom within IPM Turn Window - Date info e-mailed to subscribers

Next IPM Turn Window: Top / Bottom 
Trigger: SP500 = 1861, DJIA = 16300, GDOW = 2470
Supporting Indicators: Up trend based on 8/4 test

PROFIT TARGETS
Profit Target 1: 1915-1920
Profit Target 2: 1960

TNA target is separate. It might be hit early. If profit target is hit, aggressive trailing stops will be used & we will discuss it on the blog. 
RISK
Stop: New low outside of IPM turn window. Since we are within IPM turn window, provisional Stops are at: SP500 = 1838
Trailing Stops: Will be determined next week 
Typical IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.5%
Actual IPM Trade Matrix Risk: 1.34% (Entry = 1865 , Exit = 1840 , Risk = 1.34% )
Risk Reason: Geo-political uncertainty. Fed's FOMC meeting on March 19. Within IPM Bottom window
Applicable Rule: 

1. Sell (1/2) at profit objective 1 to minimize draw-down (aggressive trailing stops at profit objective)
2. No Trade in opposite direction
3. Do not go long or short without trigger to prevent losses by market moving against you.  
4. Observe stop-losses to minimize draw-downs
5. If stops are hit ==> Wait on the sidelines for new opportunity near IPM Turn window

Note: IPM Trade Matrix Trades will be posted in the first half of 2014. This is an experiment to understand and enhance the capabilities of this Matrix.

For Blog updates on Google+ add: Understand Survive Thrive 

For Blog updates on Twitter, add: @survive_thrive

For E-mail updates: